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Are Netflix's Best Days Behind it: Recent Stock Crash Explained in 5 Points

Photo by freestocks on Unsplash

In April, Netflix declared that it lost 200,000 subscribers in its first quarter of 2022, leaving many investors and analysts perplexed by the volatile market. After the news, Netflix stock prices fell by more than 35 percent while also affecting competitors like Hotstar, Hulu, etc.

Amidst the unanticipated drop, experts and investors alike are tied between exiting or holding the stocks for now. Few optimistic traders expect the prices to recover soon and even propose buying more stocks.

Whereas the buy ratings from finance analysts have declined to 41 percent, for the first time ever since 2015.

The reasons behind the sudden stock crash are varied and loosely interconnected. Let’s have a look at the major points:

1. Russia-Ukraine War

Commodities prices have shot up significantly due to sanctions imposed on Russia by countries worldwide. Crude oil and petroleum have touched an all-time high post the import ban.

The increase in commodity prices coupled with inflation has made people turn away from subscriptions as they grapple with basic needs.

2. Withdrawal from the Russian Market

Netflix lost 700,000 Russian customers in its withdrawal from the Russian market in its protest against war and the killing of innocent lives. This created a glaring hole in the company’s customer base affecting its valuation globally.

3. Overvaluation during Pandemic

Coming right out of the pandemic, analysts believe that Netflix was overvalued and that the stock crash was not totally unexpected. During the pandemic, Netflix soared as the only source of entertainment was online streaming of movies and series.

Investors poured money into Netflix, confident with witnessing the increase in customers. But as the restrictions opened slowly, people found other avenues of entertainment.

4. Increased Competition from Rivals

Competitors like Hotstar, etc., have the advantage of multi-tier service offerings at reduced prices. Netflix has been strong on its no-ads policy since the start but to its detriment - as that implies a higher price bracket.

Customers are moving to other streaming platforms that offer cheaper plans in exchange for advertisements.

5. Hitting a Growth Impasse